Modelled population backseries

Published by:
Greater London Authority
Last updated:
26 January 2025
Topic:
Not added
Licence:
None

Summary

These modelled annual population estimates were created for use the GLA's population projections.

They are intended to provide a consistent series of annual population and components of change between census years with all change accounted for by the standard components of change (births, deaths, and migration).

The official mid-year population estimates published by ONS are available here.

The original detailed internal migration data published by ONS is available here.

An overview of the general approach used to create these estimates is described in this presentation delivered at the 2022 BSPS conference.

* 17 April 2023 code for producing the modelled 2021 detailed internal migration flows is now available on Github

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Data links

Link to the data Format File added Data preview
origin_destination_2002_2022_(2023_geog).rds N/A 26 January 2025 Not available
full_modelled_estimates_series_EW(2023_geog).rds N/A 01 December 2024 Not available
gla_modelled_estimates_series_WD22_London_2011_2022_wide.csv CSV 19 July 2024 Preview
gla_modelled_estimates_series_LAD_EW_2001_2022_(2021_geog)_wide.csv CSV 19 July 2024 Preview
gla_modelled_estimates_series_LAD_EW_2001_2023_(2023_geog)_wide.csv CSV 19 July 2024 Preview
modelled_backseries (updated 14-07-2023).csv CSV 19 July 2023 Preview
origin_destination_2002_to_2020_(2021_geog).rds N/A 19 April 2023 Not available
origin_destination_lad_2012_2021.csv CSV 08 February 2023 Preview
modelled_backseries.csv CSV 08 February 2023 Preview

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